Author Archives: Tancredi

The 900 Foot Ghost of Abe Lincoln

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Ricardo Desayuno per last night’s discussion: http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/01/theres-no-gop-cavalry-coming-its-too-late-to-get-on-the-ballot.php

In every primary state up through early April, the filing deadlines have passed. That includes the very delegate-rich Super Tuesday of March 6, when a total of 329 delegates will be at stake in primary states, compared to 104 in caucuses.
Indeed, the first filing deadline to come after the Florida primary will be for Texas — but it is on February 1, the day immediately after the Florida primary itself, and presumably too late for any such scenario. It is not until late April that any contests are held that will have filing deadlines further into February, and even then this is cutting it close.
Thus, for a Republican hero to ride in on a white horse, it would take a scenario that verges on political science fiction: A combination of write-in voting where applicable — and for Romney to fully drop out and endorse this new savior candidate, to essentially bequeath his place on the ballot by telling his pledged delegates elected in this manner to go along with it.

so: happy pie day
Tancredi Yay! The only hope, as I understand it, is a brokered convention. The nominee from such does not have to be one of the ones who went in, as profoundly unacceptable and antidemocratic as that might seem.
hmm, comment from David on that TPM link throws cold water on my hopes
Ricardo Desayuno and presumably the candidates with the most delegates will just roll over
Tancredi I imagine promises of cabinet positions, etc, work pretty well for that. Fuck, Newt would be able to offer all kinds of crazy ass positions. “Secretary of Tiffany’s, Calista?” “I mean, it’s not like I”m going to win or anything.”
Ricardo Desayuno Newt’s not the one who needs the brokered convention. It’s Chris Christie

or 900 Foot Ghost of Abe Lincoln

or Animatronic Barry Goldwater Killbot 3400
Tancredi well, I meant that offers of positions works to gain the support of a candidate who drops out to endorse you. ie, say hello to Rick Santorum, Secretary of Health and Human Services
and thereby a brokered convention is avoided
H. Chalmers Higgenbottem III Those are all valid candidates, Ricardo. I’m rather worried.

Pie, launched

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Here, upon the auspicious occasion that is National Pie Day, we bring to you the inauspicious, poorly edited, frequently juvenile, and rarely successful attempts at humor that constitute the group chat, Schadenfreude Pie by the Slice. For accounting purposes we’ll consider this our birthday; however, the chat has inexplicably been going on for many years, and so over time we will be shoveling content from the chat into back-dated posts. That way you, non-existent reader, can thrill not just to the hobo punching jokes, but will also be able to ascertain just how incapable we are of even basic political analysis or prediction. Enjoy!

It’s what’s for breakfast

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Jeter Roolz morning, pepys
Tancredi morning
Jeter Roolz what’s the word, aside from entropy?
Ricardo Desayuno The word is that Mitt Romney was seen dining with my good friend Ricardo Desayuno.
Jeter Roolz lol
Ricardo Desayuno “I’d like something in sausage form, appropriate to the occasion of my smooth handling of the tax return issue.”
Jeter Roolz speaking of dick breakfast, Nate certainly had a goodly portion this morning
Ricardo Desayuno yeah?
Jeter Roolz in the above post
Ricardo Desayuno saw that already, 22-point swings in 24 hours aren’t exactly common
Newt’s 27 percent favorability rate is somewhere between “Hun” and “Third-world dictator”
Jeter Roolz The conventional wisdom seems to hold that the story has more to do with Mr. Gingrich than with Mr. Romney. And there is some evidence of this in the polling: much of Mr. Gingrich’s gain has come at the expense of Rick Santorum and Rick Perry rather than Mr. Romney. Meanwhile, I had written a post on Tuesday that challenged the notion that there was a true “anybody but Romney” constituency among Republican voters, especially given his strong second-choice support in many surveys.
But now I’m wondering if that is the right interpretation. Mr. Gingrich’s gain in the polls has occurred so rapidly that few political writers have taken a step back to analyze it. What’s interesting, however, is that in each of the first three voting states, there is a different “not Romney” candidate who has surged late in the race: Mr. Santorum in Iowa, Jon M. Huntsman Jr. in New Hampshire, and now Mr. Gingrich in South Carolina.
Ricardo Desayuno 26-60 as of 1/16. Yeah, that’s gonna work out just fine http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contest/us-favorability-gingrich
Jeter Roolz He was flat out wrong that there is no such thing as an “anybody but Romney” vote
Ricardo Desayuno sure, but the unprecedented bankruptcy of ideas from a complete slate of USDA-certified grade-A assclowns puts everything in uncharted territory
Jeter Roolz maybe, but the ABR vote was pretty fucking obvious
Well, I still think Newt’s stink lines will doom him down the road.
Ricardo Desayuno #thingsthatapplytoeveryGOPcandidatein2012
Jeter Roolz But jeez, I’m not sure I’d even call Romney the bizarro John Kerry. That’s an insult the the campaigning acumen of John Kerry.
Ricardo Desayuno lol
Bain Capital was his Vietnam, man, and “Uptown Girl” his protest anthem
Jeter Roolz WIN
Ricardo Desayuno i’ve been waiting to play that card
Jeter Roolz Assuming Newt wins tomorrow, Romney will have won one of the first three contests, and that in his backyard, in a state with a non-representative Republican demographic
Ricardo Desayuno and you said you were worried about a Republican president?
Jeter Roolz If Europe goes tits up, all bets are off
Tancredi there was some good news out of Greece today, at least a little bit
Ricardo Desayuno yes, but that’s so far out of the control of any of these boobs that it’s difficult to speculate what will happen. Romney will suspend his campaign for 48 hours, Gingrich will sodomize a pumpkin and then leave it at the altar, Santorum will build a 900-foot Jesus statue on his lawn… and Obama will look Presidential
Monkey Butler Hey are those sausages? Man, I’m hungry
LOL on “Uptown Girl”