Ricardo Desayuno per last night’s discussion: http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/01/theres-no-gop-cavalry-coming-its-too-late-to-get-on-the-ballot.php
In every primary state up through early April, the filing deadlines have passed. That includes the very delegate-rich Super Tuesday of March 6, when a total of 329 delegates will be at stake in primary states, compared to 104 in caucuses.
Indeed, the first filing deadline to come after the Florida primary will be for Texas — but it is on February 1, the day immediately after the Florida primary itself, and presumably too late for any such scenario. It is not until late April that any contests are held that will have filing deadlines further into February, and even then this is cutting it close.
Thus, for a Republican hero to ride in on a white horse, it would take a scenario that verges on political science fiction: A combination of write-in voting where applicable — and for Romney to fully drop out and endorse this new savior candidate, to essentially bequeath his place on the ballot by telling his pledged delegates elected in this manner to go along with it.
so: happy pie day
Tancredi Yay! The only hope, as I understand it, is a brokered convention. The nominee from such does not have to be one of the ones who went in, as profoundly unacceptable and antidemocratic as that might seem.
hmm, comment from David on that TPM link throws cold water on my hopes
Ricardo Desayuno and presumably the candidates with the most delegates will just roll over
Tancredi I imagine promises of cabinet positions, etc, work pretty well for that. Fuck, Newt would be able to offer all kinds of crazy ass positions. “Secretary of Tiffany’s, Calista?” “I mean, it’s not like I”m going to win or anything.”
Ricardo Desayuno Newt’s not the one who needs the brokered convention. It’s Chris Christie
or 900 Foot Ghost of Abe Lincoln
or Animatronic Barry Goldwater Killbot 3400
Tancredi well, I meant that offers of positions works to gain the support of a candidate who drops out to endorse you. ie, say hello to Rick Santorum, Secretary of Health and Human Services
and thereby a brokered convention is avoided
H. Chalmers Higgenbottem III Those are all valid candidates, Ricardo. I’m rather worried.